Number 15

In Loto under the 5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008 rules — 2,820 draws, 5 from 1–49.

315times drawn · chance expected 288 +1.69σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 47% for any number

8.9average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

45longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 315 times in 2,820 draws against 287.8 expected, +1.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 315 times in 2,820 draws · average wait 8.9 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest71 · chance 75.1
2nd smallest121 · chance 135.6
3rd smallest102 · chance 82.6
4th smallest21 · chance 20.0
5th smallest0 · chance 1.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 26.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

41 6 24 29 5 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-23	1	2nd	8 15 21 26 38
2026-09-21	8	3rd	3 6 15 29 43
2026-09-02	7	3rd	1 10 15 32 49
2026-08-17	8	4th	6 7 10 15 38

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-03-10	5	2nd	13 15 23 24 39
2025-02-26	39	3rd	3 11 15 17 44
2024-11-27	9	2nd	7 15 20 31 35
2024-11-06	1	3rd	6 8 15 23 26
2024-11-04	6	1st	15 16 17 35 39
2024-10-21	16	3rd	7 11 15 19 34
2024-09-14	3	3rd	6 11 15 32 49
2024-09-07	7	2nd	9 15 31 43 48
2024-08-21	14	2nd	3 15 19 20 31
2024-07-20	20	2nd	5 15 16 30 47
2024-06-03	7	2nd	9 15 39 48 49
2024-05-18	1	2nd	14 15 34 37 45
2024-05-15	6	2nd	9 15 16 20 21
2024-05-01	13	2nd	5 15 17 25 42
2024-04-01	2	3rd	9 12 15 17 26
2024-03-27	18	2nd	2 15 23 28 45
2024-02-14	2	2nd	3 15 28 36 46
2024-02-10	3	1st	15 34 37 40 44
2024-02-03	1	3rd	4 12 15 23 42
2024-01-31	1	3rd	2 13 15 31 34
2024-01-29	6	3rd	8 9 15 26 27
2024-01-15	1	3rd	7 11 15 19 23
2024-01-13	11	2nd	12 15 21 29 48
2023-12-18	1	2nd	3 15 16 30 41
2023-12-16	3	3rd	1 12 15 30 44
2023-12-09	8	1st	15 28 34 36 40
2023-11-20	17	1st	15 30 34 41 46
2023-10-11	4	3rd	6 10 15 16 24
2023-10-02	7	3rd	3 6 15 17 40
2023-09-16	3	1st	15 32 40 42 43
2023-09-09	1	4th	3 4 7 15 42
2023-09-06	5	2nd	4 15 30 33 47
2023-08-26	8	2nd	14 15 21 34 45
2023-08-07	14	3rd	1 11 15 47 48
2023-07-05	2	3rd	7 8 15 19 22
2023-07-01	22	3rd	7 9 15 18 24
2023-05-10	4	3rd	9 12 15 44 45
2023-05-01	7	2nd	5 15 33 41 44
2023-04-15	1	1st	15 17 19 29 32
2023-04-12	1	2nd	10 15 18 26 30
2023-04-10	3	2nd	10 15 24 45 49
2023-04-03	8	1st	15 31 39 46 49
2023-03-15	14	2nd	5 15 17 20 37
2023-02-11	6	2nd	9 15 43 45 47
2023-01-28	16	2nd	5 15 30 44 45
2022-12-21	3	3rd	11 12 15 21 22
2022-12-14	3	3rd	4 6 15 20 37
2022-12-07	6	4th	2 10 12 15 38
2022-11-23	1	1st	15 19 36 45 46
2022-11-21	5	1st	15 23 33 45 47
2022-11-09	22	3rd	1 2 15 30 41
2022-09-19	8	3rd	5 7 15 33 44
2022-08-31	9	3rd	9 10 15 39 45
2022-08-10	8	3rd	9 11 15 28 35
2022-07-23	32	1st	15 25 39 41 47
2022-05-09	1	4th	6 7 9 15 33
2022-05-07	12	2nd	7 15 23 37 38
2022-04-09	3	3rd	3 13 15 29 40
2022-04-02	11	3rd	6 11 15 24 28
2022-03-07	5	2nd	8 15 27 29 41
2022-02-23	4	4th	6 12 14 15 33
2022-02-14	3	2nd	13 15 20 26 29
2022-02-07	6	1st	15 18 31 37 46
2022-01-24	3	3rd	4 7 15 38 40
2022-01-17	18	3rd	4 5 15 22 27
2021-12-06	17	2nd	7 15 16 29 36
2021-10-27	5	1st	15 16 27 41 44
2021-10-16	3	2nd	5 15 23 37 46
2021-10-09	2	1st	15 19 22 29 34
2021-10-04	6	3rd	5 7 15 19 44
2021-09-20	4	3rd	10 12 15 31 45
2021-09-11	1	3rd	3 5 15 33 49
2021-09-08	22	3rd	7 12 15 27 34
2021-07-19	9	4th	2 3 4 15 28
2021-06-28	26	3rd	4 8 15 28 48
2021-04-28	8	4th	4 10 12 15 49
2021-04-10	2	4th	4 8 9 15 35
2021-04-05	6	3rd	2 12 15 22 32
2021-03-22	3	2nd	6 15 24 34 39
2021-03-15	9	1st	15 29 33 38 41
2021-02-22	5	2nd	3 15 24 26 37
2021-02-10	2	2nd	13 15 29 33 44
2021-02-06	32	2nd	9 15 42 44 47
2020-11-23	5	4th	1 6 12 15 20
2020-11-11	9	2nd	10 15 16 17 37
2020-10-21	20	1st	15 21 33 35 48
2020-09-05	3	1st	15 19 22 24 46
2020-08-29	6	1st	15 21 23 38 39
2020-08-15	4	3rd	3 5 15 41 42
2020-08-05	4	1st	15 17 22 32 46
2020-07-27	1	1st	15 19 24 25 45
2020-07-25	34	3rd	6 10 15 18 48
2020-05-06	1	3rd	10 14 15 36 48
2020-05-04	30	3rd	8 9 15 33 39
2020-02-24	6	2nd	9 15 20 27 47
2020-02-10	20	1st	15 25 37 38 49
2019-12-25	7	1st	15 24 36 40 45
2019-12-09	5	2nd	1 15 24 25 34
2019-11-27	4	2nd	2 15 18 29 44
2019-11-18	21	3rd	6 12 15 31 44
2019-09-28	1	2nd	12 15 18 19 40
2019-09-25	2	3rd	1 7 15 22 26
2019-09-21	12	2nd	8 15 41 42 44
2019-08-24	44	1st	15 17 23 31 38
2019-05-13	8	1st	15 24 37 40 41
2019-04-24	2	4th	3 11 13 15 35
2019-04-20	5	2nd	4 15 30 45 49
2019-04-08	4	3rd	9 13 15 24 26
2019-03-30	9	3rd	2 3 15 41 44
2019-03-09	1	1st	15 32 35 43 47
2019-03-06	1	2nd	14 15 23 44 46
2019-03-04	5	3rd	4 11 15 33 36
2019-02-20	4	2nd	8 15 25 29 34
2019-02-11	2	2nd	13 15 25 43 48
2019-02-06	3	2nd	4 15 21 22 26
2019-01-30	1	2nd	11 15 20 30 47
2019-01-28	5	2nd	6 15 30 37 47
2019-01-16	3	4th	1 10 11 15 31
2019-01-09	16	2nd	6 15 19 21 46
2018-12-03	1	3rd	1 9 15 19 39
2018-12-01	1	3rd	3 6 15 23 39
2018-11-28	2	3rd	3 10 15 30 38
2018-11-24	4	4th	5 10 11 15 22
2018-11-14	1	1st	15 36 41 48 49
2018-11-12	19	3rd	13 14 15 21 37
2018-09-29	1	3rd	7 10 15 17 31
2018-09-26	3	2nd	10 15 18 36 40
2018-09-19	1	2nd	4 15 25 27 42
2018-09-17	5	2nd	8 15 26 42 43
2018-09-05	1	3rd	6 7 15 34 39
2018-09-03	4	3rd	1 2 15 18 41
2018-08-25	2	2nd	6 15 16 29 44
2018-08-20	5	1st	15 18 40 42 48
2018-08-08	3	2nd	5 15 19 24 29
2018-08-01	21	1st	15 17 35 45 47
2018-06-13	17	1st	15 20 29 48 49
2018-05-05	16	2nd	9 15 30 41 47
2018-03-28	4	2nd	5 15 39 43 45
2018-03-19	27	1st	15 20 24 27 46
2018-01-15	13	3rd	2 5 15 22 28
2017-12-16	5	2nd	9 15 20 48 49
2017-12-04	23	1st	15 23 32 41 43
2017-10-11	1	2nd	6 15 29 44 48
2017-10-09	7	3rd	3 6 15 30 47
2017-09-23	6	1st	15 19 22 33 37
2017-09-09	11	2nd	13 15 19 39 44
2017-08-14	1	4th	2 9 13 15 39
2017-08-12	43	3rd	5 13 15 36 41
2017-05-03	31	2nd	6 15 20 27 46
2017-02-20	4	1st	15 20 29 41 43
2017-02-11	8	2nd	1 15 17 29 37
2017-01-23	11	2nd	5 15 17 31 49
2016-12-28	36	1st	15 16 34 35 39
2016-10-05	6	2nd	2 15 18 28 43
2016-09-21	14	2nd	13 15 20 30 40
2016-08-20	12	2nd	10 15 28 35 43
2016-07-23	6	2nd	2 15 21 27 33
2016-07-09	25	3rd	3 6 15 39 46
2016-05-11	3	1st	15 19 29 31 44
2016-05-04	5	3rd	7 8 15 24 42
2016-04-23	1	2nd	2 15 17 22 26
2016-04-20	10	3rd	12 13 15 36 41
2016-03-28	28	3rd	2 4 15 26 28
2016-01-23	8	2nd	3 15 33 41 42
2016-01-04	4	1st	15 23 34 40 43
2015-12-26	6	1st	15 20 21 38 43
2015-12-12	13	3rd	2 13 15 34 40
2015-11-11	3	4th	1 6 13 15 17
2015-11-04	11	3rd	8 11 15 21 32
2015-10-10	4	1st	15 23 30 41 45
2015-09-30	15	1st	15 16 18 26 35
2015-08-26	6	1st	15 26 37 41 44
2015-08-12	26	3rd	1 8 15 24 43
2015-06-13	8	2nd	11 15 16 29 46
2015-05-25	5	1st	15 29 35 44 49
2015-05-13	7	2nd	6 15 22 37 45
2015-04-27	3	2nd	5 15 28 41 43
2015-04-20	5	3rd	2 10 15 28 37
2015-04-08	2	2nd	2 15 30 36 38
2015-04-04	7	1st	15 23 28 33 39
2015-03-18	28	3rd	4 10 15 26 30
2015-01-12	12	2nd	13 15 20 27 34
2014-12-15	25	1st	15 23 41 42 47
2014-10-18	2	2nd	1 15 24 27 43
2014-10-13	1	3rd	1 12 15 29 30
2014-10-11	15	2nd	10 15 19 24 28
2014-09-06	7	4th	3 13 14 15 42
2014-08-20	6	1st	15 22 31 33 41
2014-08-06	6	2nd	13 15 21 34 41
2014-07-23	18	3rd	1 8 15 24 32
2014-06-11	14	2nd	9 15 22 32 42
2014-05-10	24	2nd	6 15 17 21 37
2014-03-15	3	2nd	5 15 26 30 37
2014-03-08	3	2nd	6 15 35 40 46
2014-03-01	7	3rd	4 5 15 17 20
2014-02-12	34	3rd	7 10 15 16 48
2013-11-25	9	2nd	4 15 16 27 42
2013-11-04	9	3rd	8 13 15 18 24
2013-10-14	3	1st	15 19 21 33 35
2013-10-07	3	2nd	6 15 16 31 46
2013-09-30	6	2nd	10 15 26 28 45
2013-09-16	16	2nd	6 15 24 26 38
2013-08-10	26	2nd	5 15 19 24 41
2013-06-10	6	3rd	3 13 15 32 35
2013-05-27	6	3rd	9 13 15 28 37
2013-05-13	2	1st	15 23 29 40 49
2013-05-08	1	3rd	5 13 15 25 43
2013-05-06	1	2nd	13 15 23 24 48
2013-05-04	12	3rd	6 13 15 40 45
2013-04-06	38	2nd	1 15 29 33 42
2013-01-07	18	1st	15 31 32 45 48
2012-11-26	10	2nd	9 15 35 44 48
2012-11-03	21	3rd	9 11 15 22 36
2012-09-15	3	1st	15 17 21 37 43
2012-09-08	10	2nd	9 15 22 34 43
2012-08-15	16	3rd	2 13 15 19 24
2012-07-09	3	1st	15 26 38 41 45
2012-07-02	5	4th	2 6 7 15 46
2012-06-20	10	1st	15 33 36 41 47
2012-05-28	5	1st	15 30 38 41 42
2012-05-16	9	1st	15 21 22 31 49
2012-04-25	6	1st	15 20 29 30 44
2012-04-11	6	1st	15 19 27 29 49
2012-03-28	4	2nd	4 15 17 20 45
2012-03-19	17	4th	4 10 11 15 28
2012-02-08	1	2nd	12 15 19 27 37
2012-02-06	4	2nd	13 15 24 29 49
2012-01-28	8	2nd	12 15 18 23 47
2012-01-09	18	1st	15 25 26 32 34
2011-11-28	15	4th	1 2 11 15 24
2011-10-24	6	2nd	5 15 17 18 31
2011-10-10	4	2nd	3 15 16 45 47
2011-10-01	6	2nd	14 15 25 32 38
2011-09-17	3	3rd	1 2 15 23 40
2011-09-10	15	3rd	1 10 15 24 28
2011-08-06	12	3rd	4 13 15 17 39
2011-07-09	15	2nd	4 15 31 44 45
2011-06-04	5	3rd	3 4 15 27 35
2011-05-23	1	1st	15 19 29 33 38
2011-05-21	13	3rd	5 14 15 27 35
2011-04-20	9	1st	15 17 18 33 41
2011-03-30	1	1st	15 23 27 29 43
2011-03-28	7	2nd	10 15 16 43 46
2011-03-12	1	1st	15 16 22 33 34
2011-03-09	12	3rd	3 9 15 29 43
2011-02-09	18	1st	15 27 31 41 43
2010-12-29	9	2nd	11 15 29 46 47
2010-12-08	2	2nd	4 15 19 24 44
2010-12-04	2	3rd	7 12 15 24 33
2010-11-29	1	1st	15 16 23 30 41
2010-11-27	10	3rd	9 10 15 43 44
2010-11-03	1	2nd	6 15 33 46 49
2010-11-01	2	2nd	1 15 17 24 28
2010-10-27	13	3rd	3 13 15 32 46
2010-09-27	10	2nd	1 15 22 23 46
2010-09-04	11	3rd	9 11 15 42 49
2010-08-09	12	3rd	7 8 15 18 25
2010-07-12	11	2nd	11 15 24 38 47
2010-06-16	1	3rd	3 9 15 40 48
2010-06-14	1	1st	15 23 45 48 49
2010-06-12	36	1st	15 24 30 43 48
2010-03-20	2	2nd	2 15 28 36 49
2010-03-15	12	3rd	1 4 15 18 38
2010-02-15	8	2nd	8 15 24 39 48
2010-01-27	12	3rd	5 10 15 43 45
2009-12-30	1	3rd	2 5 15 21 39
2009-12-28	2	2nd	12 15 23 27 46
2009-12-23	2	1st	15 17 18 24 44
2009-12-19	1	3rd	6 9 15 16 40
2009-12-16	8	1st	15 23 30 39 49
2009-11-28	1	1st	15 35 37 39 41
2009-11-25	14	3rd	11 14 15 33 39
2009-10-24	1	1st	15 27 28 38 39
2009-10-21	8	3rd	1 10 15 26 49
2009-10-03	13	3rd	7 9 15 47 49
2009-09-02	38	4th	5 6 12 15 17
2009-06-06	7	2nd	13 15 32 33 46
2009-05-20	4	2nd	3 15 23 28 35
2009-05-11	4	2nd	9 15 27 34 48
2009-05-02	1	4th	5 7 11 15 23
2009-04-29	15	2nd	4 15 26 29 30
2009-03-25	2	3rd	5 10 15 33 34
2009-03-21	6	2nd	2 15 32 39 45
2009-03-07	4	2nd	2 15 22 24 36
2009-02-25	14	2nd	4 15 21 30 36
2009-01-24	17	2nd	5 15 20 28 40
2008-12-15	3	3rd	2 5 15 27 48
2008-12-08	3	3rd	1 11 15 29 31
2008-12-01	11	1st	15 19 32 37 38
2008-11-05	7	3rd	4 8 15 38 47
2008-10-20	—	2nd	7 15 31 43 48