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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 15 January 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244007
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 19
  5. 23
  6. 4

Jackpot€20,000,000

The crowdHeld 41% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,391 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-01-13All recent draws2024-01-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 11 15 19 23 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 15 19 23 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

14oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 14 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd99th
  • low99th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 244 of each

7252times
11238times
15269times
19221times
23

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€23.2Mto 817k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • rang186%€20.0M
  • rang85.0%€1.2M
  • rang93.6%€829.6K
  • 6 other tiers5.2%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

249times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

4239times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,390 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 15, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 May 2009 — its closest relative in 2,390 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 January 2024): 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 4.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€20,000,000
  • rang29≈ 2.7 by chance€22,233
  • rang3123≈ 66 by chance€397
  • rang41,113≈ 597 by chance€158
  • rang53,830≈ 2.9k by chance€27.40
  • rang634,724≈ 26k by chance€10.90
  • rang740,323≈ 40k by chance€7.30
  • rang8359,484≈ 359k by chance€3.20
  • rang9377,077€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,113 winners, 86% more than the 597 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€20,000,000
    rang29€22,233
    rang3123€397
    rang41,113€158
    rang53,830€27.40
    rang634,724€10.90
    rang740,323€7.30
    rang8359,484€3.20
    rang9377,077€2.20