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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 9 November 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222135
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 15
  4. 30
  5. 41
  6. 9

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,206 of 3,003 under them

← 2022-11-07All recent draws2022-11-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 2 15 30 41 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 15 30 41 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

1231times
2217times
15240times
30214times
41

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-09

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 768k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang612%€411.6K
  • rang836%€1.3M
  • rang927%€967.9K
  • 4 other tiers25%€896.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

264times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

9228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,205 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 2, 15, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 September 2018 — its closest relative in 2,205 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 November 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.1 by chance€217,983
  • rang344≈ 51 by chance€6,163
  • rang4358≈ 458 by chance€536
  • rang52,150≈ 2.2k by chance€53.30
  • rang617,820≈ 20k by chance€23.10
  • rang731,217≈ 31k by chance€10.20
  • rang8275,961≈ 276k by chance€4.60
  • rang9439,972€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 17,820 winners, 10% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang20€217,983
    rang344€6,163
    rang4358€536
    rang52,150€53.30
    rang617,820€23.10
    rang731,217€10.20
    rang8275,961€4.60
    rang9439,972€2.20