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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 16 December 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233150
  1. 1
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 30
  5. 44
  6. 1

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 50% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,378 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-12-13All recent draws2023-12-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 12 15 30 44 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 12 15 30 44 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

1253times
12237times
15266times
30232times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.8Mto 766k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • rang613%€489.6K
  • rang839%€1.5M
  • rang920%€771.4K
  • 5 other tiers28%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

250times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

1249times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,377 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 12, 15, 30) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 October 2014 — its closest relative in 2,377 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.7 by chance€258,799
  • rang355≈ 66 by chance€1,148
  • rang4597≈ 591 by chance€382
  • rang52,308≈ 2.8k by chance€58.90
  • rang626,324≈ 25k by chance€18.60
  • rang730,572≈ 40k by chance€12.40
  • rang8355,726≈ 356k by chance€4.20
  • rang9350,654€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 30,572 winners, 23% fewer than the 40k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€258,799
    rang355€1,148
    rang4597€382
    rang52,308€58.90
    rang626,324€18.60
    rang730,572€12.40
    rang8355,726€4.20
    rang9350,654€2.20