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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244014
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 31
  5. 34
  6. 8

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,398 of 2,999 under them

← 2024-01-29All recent draws2024-02-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 13 15 31 34 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 15 31 34 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 245 of each

2234times
13275times
15271times
31254times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-31

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 626k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang612%€322.6K
  • rang836%€987.1K
  • rang927%€762.9K
  • 5 other tiers25%€704.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

8213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,397 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 13, 15, 34) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 December 2015 — its closest relative in 2,397 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 January 2024): 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.8 by chance€171,082
  • rang329≈ 43 by chance€1,440
  • rang4332≈ 390 by chance€454
  • rang51,797≈ 1.9k by chance€50.00
  • rang615,813≈ 17k by chance€20.40
  • rang726,440≈ 26k by chance€9.50
  • rang8235,018≈ 235k by chance€4.20
  • rang9346,785€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 15,813 winners, 6% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€171,082
    rang329€1,440
    rang4332€454
    rang51,797€50.00
    rang615,813€20.40
    rang726,440€9.50
    rang8235,018€4.20
    rang9346,785€2.20