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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 15 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233045
  1. 15
  2. 17
  3. 19
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 10

Jackpot€13,000,000

The crowdHeld 29% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,273 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-12All recent draws2023-04-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 17 19 29 32 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 17 19 29 32 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

15252times
17232times
19207times
29242times
32

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 953k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang613%€584.8K
  • rang838%€1.8M
  • rang922%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

224times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

10225times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,272 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 19, 29, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 June 2013 — its closest relative in 2,272 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 April 2023): 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€13,000,000
  • rang22≈ 3.1 by chance€155,154
  • rang368≈ 76 by chance€1,114
  • rang4718≈ 684 by chance€380
  • rang52,580≈ 3.3k by chance€63.20
  • rang630,146≈ 29k by chance€19.40
  • rang735,838≈ 46k by chance€12.70
  • rang8411,851≈ 412k by chance€4.30
  • rang9472,166€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 35,838 winners, 22% fewer than the 46k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€13,000,000
    rang22€155,154
    rang368€1,114
    rang4718€380
    rang52,580€63.20
    rang630,146€19.40
    rang735,838€12.70
    rang8411,851€4.30
    rang9472,166€2.20