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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 10 May 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233056
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 1

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 52% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,284 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-05-08All recent draws2023-05-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 12 15 44 45 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 15 44 45 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

9232times
12222times
15254times
44241times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 584k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang613%€376.1K
  • rang839%€1.2M
  • rang920%€587.9K
  • 5 other tiers28%€818.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

227times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

1238times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,283 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 15, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 February 2023 — its closest relative in 2,283 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.1 by chance€198,940
  • rang334≈ 51 by chance€1,428
  • rang4389≈ 455 by chance€450
  • rang51,513≈ 2.2k by chance€69.10
  • rang619,092≈ 20k by chance€19.70
  • rang721,421≈ 30k by chance€13.60
  • rang8274,085≈ 274k by chance€4.20
  • rang9267,246€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,513 winners, 30% fewer than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€198,940
    rang334€1,428
    rang4389€450
    rang51,513€69.10
    rang619,092€19.70
    rang721,421€13.60
    rang8274,085€4.20
    rang9267,246€2.20