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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 23 November 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222141
  1. 15
  2. 19
  3. 36
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 4

Jackpot€20,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,212 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-11-21All recent draws2022-11-26 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 19 36 45 46 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 19 36 45 46 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

15242times
19200times
36225times
45217times
46

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 711k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang612%€406.9K
  • rang836%€1.2M
  • rang927%€937.4K
  • 5 other tiers26%€887.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

225times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

4220times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,211 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 19, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 September 2020 — its closest relative in 2,211 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2022): 15, 45 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€20,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.8 by chance€71,799
  • rang323≈ 45 by chance€2,286
  • rang4283≈ 402 by chance€670
  • rang51,573≈ 1.9k by chance€72.00
  • rang614,690≈ 17k by chance€27.70
  • rang726,146≈ 27k by chance€12.10
  • rang8241,802≈ 242k by chance€5.10
  • rang9426,113€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,573 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€20,000,000
    rang23€71,799
    rang323€2,286
    rang4283€670
    rang51,573€72.00
    rang614,690€27.70
    rang726,146€12.10
    rang8241,802€5.10
    rang9426,113€2.20