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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 19 September 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222113
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 15
  4. 33
  5. 44
  6. 1

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 58% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,184 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-09-17All recent draws2022-09-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 7 15 33 44 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 15 33 44 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

5222times
7226times
15239times
33229times
44

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-19

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 446k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang613%€283.5K
  • rang839%€870.1K
  • rang920%€436.9K
  • 4 other tiers28%€618.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 218 of each

1230times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,183 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 7, 15, 44) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 October 2021 — its closest relative in 2,183 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.6 by chance€150,312
  • rang336≈ 39 by chance€5,194
  • rang4387≈ 353 by chance€342
  • rang51,267≈ 1.7k by chance€62.40
  • rang616,293≈ 15k by chance€17.40
  • rang717,038≈ 24k by chance€12.90
  • rang8212,227≈ 212k by chance€4.10
  • rang9198,603€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 17,038 winners, 28% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€150,312
    rang336€5,194
    rang4387€342
    rang51,267€62.40
    rang616,293€17.40
    rang717,038€12.90
    rang8212,227€4.10
    rang9198,603€2.20