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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 10 April 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211043
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 15
  5. 35
  6. 8

Jackpot€13,000,000

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,958 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-04-07All recent draws2021-04-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 8 9 15 35 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 9 15 35 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

4201times
8174times
9204times
15214times
35

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-10

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • rang612%€552.1K
  • rang835%€1.7M
  • rang927%€1.3M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

205times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

8178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,957 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 9, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 May 2020 — its closest relative in 1,957 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 April 2021): 9, 35 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

71

The numbers add up to 71 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€13,000,000
  • rang22≈ 3.2 by chance€146,531
  • rang374≈ 79 by chance€967
  • rang4644≈ 714 by chance€401
  • rang53,720≈ 3.4k by chance€41.40
  • rang631,369≈ 31k by chance€17.60
  • rang750,758≈ 48k by chance€8.50
  • rang8429,667≈ 430k by chance€3.90
  • rang9588,201€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 644 winners, 10% fewer than the 714 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€13,000,000
    rang22€146,531
    rang374€967
    rang4644€401
    rang53,720€41.40
    rang631,369€17.60
    rang750,758€8.50
    rang8429,667€3.90
    rang9588,201€2.20