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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 10 February 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244018
  1. 15
  2. 34
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 44
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,402 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-02-07All recent draws2024-02-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 34 37 40 44 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 34 37 40 44 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 245 of each

15273times
34237times
37245times
40249times
44

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 858k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang612%€488.3K
  • rang836%€1.5M
  • rang928%€1.2M
  • 4 other tiers25%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

251times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

8214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,401 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 34, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,401 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 February 2024): 34 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.1 by chance€258,325
  • rang348≈ 50 by chance€6,695
  • rang4412≈ 454 by chance€552
  • rang52,314≈ 2.2k by chance€58.70
  • rang618,356≈ 20k by chance€26.60
  • rang731,429≈ 30k by chance€12.10
  • rang8273,064≈ 273k by chance€5.50
  • rang9532,720€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,314 winners, 7% more than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang20€258,325
    rang348€6,695
    rang4412€552
    rang52,314€58.70
    rang618,356€26.60
    rang731,429€12.10
    rang8273,064€5.50
    rang9532,720€2.20