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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 5 August 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200094
  1. 15
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 32
  5. 46
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,852 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-08-03All recent draws2020-08-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 17 22 32 46 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 17 22 32 46 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

15201times
17186times
22209times
32179times
46

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 617k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang612%€325.9K
  • rang835%€992.7K
  • rang928%€803.5K
  • 5 other tiers25%€707.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

182times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

8169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,851 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 32, 46) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 April 2018 — its closest relative in 1,851 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.6 by chance€86,075
  • rang327≈ 39 by chance€1,556
  • rang4288≈ 351 by chance€526
  • rang51,610≈ 1.7k by chance€56.20
  • rang613,634≈ 15k by chance€23.90
  • rang724,914≈ 23k by chance€10.10
  • rang8211,222≈ 211k by chance€4.70
  • rang9365,223€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 13,634 winners, 10% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang22€86,075
    rang327€1,556
    rang4288€526
    rang51,610€56.20
    rang613,634€23.90
    rang724,914€10.10
    rang8211,222€4.70
    rang9365,223€2.20