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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 4 May 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200054
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 33
  5. 39
  6. 10

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,812 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-05-02All recent draws2020-05-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 9 15 33 39 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 15 33 39 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

8161times
9183times
15197times
33193times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.0Mto 387k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang613%€250.4K
  • rang839%€768.6K
  • rang921%€425.4K
  • 4 other tiers27%€546.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

161times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

10174times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,811 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 15, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 December 2018 — its closest relative in 1,811 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 May 2020): 9 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.3 by chance€132,490
  • rang316≈ 31 by chance€10,302
  • rang4210≈ 278 by chance€555
  • rang5916≈ 1.3k by chance€76.00
  • rang610,523≈ 12k by chance€23.80
  • rang714,443≈ 19k by chance€13.50
  • rang8167,082≈ 167k by chance€4.60
  • rang9193,353€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 916 winners, 31% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang20€132,490
    rang316€10,302
    rang4210€555
    rang5916€76.00
    rang610,523€23.80
    rang714,443€13.50
    rang8167,082€4.60
    rang9193,353€2.20