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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 21 November 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222140
  1. 15
  2. 23
  3. 33
  4. 45
  5. 47
  6. 7

Jackpot€19,000,000

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,211 of 3,003 under them

← 2022-11-19All recent draws2022-11-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 23 33 45 47 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 23 33 45 47 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd99th
  • low32th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

15241times
23234times
33232times
45216times
47

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 787k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang610%€313.4K
  • rang831%€959.1K
  • rang937%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers22%€682.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

216times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

7244times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,210 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (33, 45, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 April 2020 — its closest relative in 2,210 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 November 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€19,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.7 by chance€55,270
  • rang367≈ 41 by chance€604
  • rang4348≈ 370 by chance€419
  • rang52,361≈ 1.8k by chance€36.90
  • rang615,438≈ 16k by chance€20.30
  • rang734,199≈ 25k by chance€7.10
  • rang8223,040≈ 223k by chance€4.30
  • rang9511,191€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 34,199 winners, 38% more than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€19,000,000
    rang23€55,270
    rang367€604
    rang4348€419
    rang52,361€36.90
    rang615,438€20.30
    rang734,199€7.10
    rang8223,040€4.30
    rang9511,191€2.20