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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 6 September 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233107
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 47
  6. 10

Jackpot€13,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,335 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-09-04All recent draws2023-09-09 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 15 30 33 47 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 30 33 47 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

4238times
15259times
30222times
33243times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-06

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 658k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang612%€430.4K
  • rang838%€1.3M
  • rang922%€772.8K
  • 5 other tiers27%€939.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

10237times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,334 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 33, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 July 2023 — its closest relative in 2,334 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€13,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.0 by chance€114,001
  • rang341≈ 49 by chance€1,357
  • rang4387≈ 438 by chance€519
  • rang51,531≈ 2.1k by chance€78.30
  • rang617,081≈ 19k by chance€25.20
  • rang723,936≈ 29k by chance€14.00
  • rang8263,775≈ 264k by chance€5.00
  • rang9351,288€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,531 winners, 27% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€13,000,000
    rang22€114,001
    rang341€1,357
    rang4387€519
    rang51,531€78.30
    rang617,081€25.20
    rang723,936€14.00
    rang8263,775€5.00
    rang9351,288€2.20