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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 9 October 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211121
  1. 15
  2. 19
  3. 22
  4. 29
  5. 34
  6. 3

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,036 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-10-06All recent draws2021-10-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 19 22 29 34 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 19 22 29 34 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

15222times
19192times
22234times
29221times
34

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-09

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 957k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • rang611%€473.8K
  • rang835%€1.5M
  • rang928%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

3201times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,035 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 22, 29, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 April 2016 — its closest relative in 2,035 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 October 2021): 34 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.7 by chance€83,427
  • rang373≈ 65 by chance€837
  • rang4600≈ 588 by chance€367
  • rang53,070≈ 2.8k by chance€42.80
  • rang626,035≈ 25k by chance€18.20
  • rang741,442≈ 39k by chance€8.80
  • rang8353,870≈ 354k by chance€4.10
  • rang9531,459€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,070 winners, 9% more than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang23€83,427
    rang373€837
    rang4600€367
    rang53,070€42.80
    rang626,035€18.20
    rang741,442€8.80
    rang8353,870€4.10
    rang9531,459€2.20