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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 24 January 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222011
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 15
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 2

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,082 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-01-22All recent draws2022-01-26 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 7 15 38 40 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 15 38 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 212 of each

4213times
7216times
15227times
38228times
40

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-24

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 493k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang612%€294.6K
  • rang838%€903.9K
  • rang923%€565.1K
  • 5 other tiers27%€643.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

212times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

2189times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,081 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 38, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 May 2016 — its closest relative in 2,081 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 January 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.5 by chance€156,243
  • rang327≈ 37 by chance€1,412
  • rang4284≈ 334 by chance€484
  • rang51,318≈ 1.6k by chance€62.30
  • rang613,390≈ 14k by chance€22.00
  • rang719,776≈ 22k by chance€11.60
  • rang8200,861≈ 201k by chance€4.50
  • rang9256,854€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,318 winners, 17% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€156,243
    rang327€1,412
    rang4284€484
    rang51,318€62.30
    rang613,390€22.00
    rang719,776€11.60
    rang8200,861€4.50
    rang9256,854€2.20