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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 1 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #2023078
  1. 7
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 24
  6. 10

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 59% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,306 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-06-28All recent draws2023-07-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 9 15 18 24 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 9 15 18 24 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd65th
  • low99th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

7241times
9238times
15255times
18219times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-01

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.8Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • rang612%€596.5K
  • rang838%€1.8M
  • rang922%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

240times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

10232times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,305 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 9, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 May 2022 — its closest relative in 2,305 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 June 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

73

The numbers add up to 73 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,000,000
  • rang28≈ 3.9 by chance€39,468
  • rang389≈ 96 by chance€866
  • rang41,389≈ 865 by chance€200
  • rang53,620≈ 4.1k by chance€45.80
  • rang645,533≈ 37k by chance€13.10
  • rang744,309≈ 58k by chance€10.40
  • rang8520,662≈ 521k by chance€3.50
  • rang9483,325€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,389 winners, 61% more than the 865 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€10,000,000
    rang28€39,468
    rang389€866
    rang41,389€200
    rang53,620€45.80
    rang645,533€13.10
    rang744,309€10.40
    rang8520,662€3.50
    rang9483,325€2.20