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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 22 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211023
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 37
  6. 7

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,938 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-20All recent draws2021-02-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 15 24 26 37 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 24 26 37 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

3195times
15210times
24194times
26206times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-22

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 616k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang610%€224.4K
  • rang830%€678.1K
  • rang938%€865.3K
  • 5 other tiers22%€491.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

195times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

7218times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,937 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 24, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 May 2019 — its closest relative in 1,937 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.3 by chance€119,148
  • rang356≈ 33 by chance€519
  • rang4281≈ 296 by chance€373
  • rang52,061≈ 1.4k by chance€30.40
  • rang612,466≈ 13k by chance€18.00
  • rang729,736≈ 20k by chance€5.90
  • rang8178,444≈ 178k by chance€3.80
  • rang9393,306€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 29,736 winners, 50% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€119,148
    rang356€519
    rang4281€373
    rang52,061€30.40
    rang612,466€18.00
    rang729,736€5.90
    rang8178,444€3.80
    rang9393,306€2.20