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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 3 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233040
  1. 15
  2. 31
  3. 39
  4. 46
  5. 49
  6. 4

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,268 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-01All recent draws2023-04-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 31 39 46 49 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 31 39 46 49 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

15249times
31239times
39204times
46231times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-03

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 465k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • rang612%€273.6K
  • rang836%€832.4K
  • rang927%€632.4K
  • 5 other tiers26%€595.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

4226times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,267 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 31, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 February 2022 — its closest relative in 2,267 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

180

The numbers add up to 180 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.1 by chance€144,861
  • rang320≈ 28 by chance€1,768
  • rang4211≈ 251 by chance€604
  • rang51,022≈ 1.2k by chance€74.50
  • rang69,436≈ 11k by chance€29.00
  • rang715,821≈ 17k by chance€13.40
  • rang8151,340≈ 151k by chance€5.50
  • rang9287,454€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,022 winners, 15% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€144,861
    rang320€1,768
    rang4211€604
    rang51,022€74.50
    rang69,436€29.00
    rang715,821€13.40
    rang8151,340€5.50
    rang9287,454€2.20