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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 17 January 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222008
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 15
  4. 22
  5. 27
  6. 9

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 29% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,079 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-01-15All recent draws2022-01-19 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 5 15 22 27 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 15 22 27 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 212 of each

4212times
5209times
15226times
22240times
27

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€9.6Mto 634k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang173%€7.0M
  • rang810%€945.4K
  • rang97.1%€682.2K
  • 6 other tiers10%€988.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

216times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

9216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,078 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 September 2021 — its closest relative in 2,078 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 January 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

73

The numbers add up to 73 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.0 by chance€32,980
  • rang384≈ 50 by chance€479
  • rang4628≈ 449 by chance€231
  • rang52,271≈ 2.1k by chance€38.10
  • rang622,631≈ 19k by chance€13.70
  • rang728,471≈ 30k by chance€8.50
  • rang8270,100≈ 270k by chance€3.50
  • rang9310,073€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 22,631 winners, 17% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€7,000,000
    rang25€32,980
    rang384€479
    rang4628€231
    rang52,271€38.10
    rang622,631€13.70
    rang728,471€8.50
    rang8270,100€3.50
    rang9310,073€2.20