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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 27 July 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200090
  1. 15
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 45
  6. 3

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 2% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,848 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-07-25All recent draws2020-07-29 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 19 24 25 45 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 19 24 25 45 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

15200times
19166times
24184times
25176times
45

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-27

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 479k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang149%€2.0M
  • rang818%€722.0K
  • rang914%€576.0K
  • 5 other tiers19%€758.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

183times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

3183times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,847 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 24, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2019 — its closest relative in 1,847 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 July 2020): 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.4 by chance€126,323
  • rang339≈ 33 by chance€4,030
  • rang4340≈ 300 by chance€327
  • rang51,501≈ 1.4k by chance€44.20
  • rang614,262≈ 13k by chance€16.70
  • rang720,627≈ 20k by chance€9.00
  • rang8180,508≈ 181k by chance€4.00
  • rang9261,814€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 14,262 winners, 11% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang20€126,323
    rang339€4,030
    rang4340€327
    rang51,501€44.20
    rang614,262€16.70
    rang720,627€9.00
    rang8180,508€4.00
    rang9261,814€2.20