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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 1 May 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244053
  1. 5
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 25
  5. 42
  6. 7

Jackpot€12,000,000

The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,437 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-04-29All recent draws2024-05-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 15 17 25 42 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 15 17 25 42 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 249 of each

5243times
15277times
17246times
25232times
42

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 830k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang610%€313.4K
  • rang831%€952.2K
  • rang936%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers22%€682.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

231times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 244 of each

7265times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,436 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 March 2023 — its closest relative in 2,436 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.0 by chance€166,155
  • rang369≈ 49 by chance€588
  • rang4488≈ 439 by chance€300
  • rang53,359≈ 2.1k by chance€26.00
  • rang621,320≈ 19k by chance€14.70
  • rang742,504≈ 29k by chance€5.70
  • rang8264,489≈ 264k by chance€3.60
  • rang9497,678€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,359 winners, 60% more than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€12,000,000
    rang21€166,155
    rang369€588
    rang4488€300
    rang53,359€26.00
    rang621,320€14.70
    rang742,504€5.70
    rang8264,489€3.60
    rang9497,678€2.20