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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 15 March 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233032
  1. 5
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 37
  6. 2

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,260 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-03-13All recent draws2023-03-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 15 17 20 37 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 15 17 20 37 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

5232times
15248times
17230times
20225times
37

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 631k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang612%€372.6K
  • rang838%€1.1M
  • rang922%€672.3K
  • 5 other tiers27%€814.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

2209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,259 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 17, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2014 — its closest relative in 2,259 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.1 by chance€65,831
  • rang359≈ 51 by chance€817
  • rang4469≈ 460 by chance€371
  • rang52,056≈ 2.2k by chance€50.50
  • rang620,813≈ 20k by chance€17.90
  • rang725,278≈ 31k by chance€11.50
  • rang8277,092≈ 277k by chance€4.10
  • rang9305,608€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 25,278 winners, 18% fewer than the 31k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang23€65,831
    rang359€817
    rang4469€371
    rang52,056€50.50
    rang620,813€17.90
    rang725,278€11.50
    rang8277,092€4.10
    rang9305,608€2.20