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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 10 February 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200018
  1. 15
  2. 25
  3. 37
  4. 38
  5. 49
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,776 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-02-08All recent draws2020-02-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 25 37 38 49 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 25 37 38 49 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

15195times
25172times
37182times
38193times
49

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 494k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang612%€271.8K
  • rang835%€822.5K
  • rang928%€657.4K
  • 5 other tiers25%€591.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

184times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 178 of each

8161times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,775 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 38, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 June 2015 — its closest relative in 1,775 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 February 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.2 by chance€143,608
  • rang329≈ 30 by chance€1,209
  • rang4232≈ 273 by chance€545
  • rang51,223≈ 1.3k by chance€61.70
  • rang610,493≈ 12k by chance€25.90
  • rang719,200≈ 18k by chance€11.00
  • rang8164,498≈ 164k by chance€5.00
  • rang9298,801€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 10,493 winners, 11% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€143,608
    rang329€1,209
    rang4232€545
    rang51,223€61.70
    rang610,493€25.90
    rang719,200€11.00
    rang8164,498€5.00
    rang9298,801€2.20