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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 11 February 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233018
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 43
  4. 45
  5. 47
  6. 9

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,246 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-02-08All recent draws2023-02-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 15 43 45 47 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 43 45 47 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd99th
  • low32th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

9231times
15247times
43229times
45222times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€8.1Mto 857k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang149%€4.0M
  • rang818%€1.5M
  • rang914%€1.1M
  • 6 other tiers19%€1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

220times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

9233times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,245 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 45, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 November 2022 — its closest relative in 2,245 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.2 by chance€84,916
  • rang348≈ 54 by chance€1,295
  • rang4410≈ 487 by chance€547
  • rang52,335≈ 2.3k by chance€57.30
  • rang619,469≈ 21k by chance€24.70
  • rang735,321≈ 33k by chance€10.60
  • rang8293,087≈ 293k by chance€5.00
  • rang9506,131€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 35,321 winners, 8% more than the 33k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€4,000,000
    rang23€84,916
    rang348€1,295
    rang4410€547
    rang52,335€57.30
    rang619,469€24.70
    rang735,321€10.60
    rang8293,087€5.00
    rang9506,131€2.20