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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 15 May 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244059
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 20
  5. 21
  6. 1

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 60% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,443 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-05-13All recent draws2024-05-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 15 16 20 21 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 16 20 21 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd65th
  • low99th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 249 of each

9254times
15278times
16258times
20243times
21

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 600k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang613%€371.1K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang920%€584.1K
  • 5 other tiers28%€807.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 244 of each

1256times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,442 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 15, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 February 2020 — its closest relative in 2,442 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

81

The numbers add up to 81 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 20–21. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.2 by chance€39,275
  • rang356≈ 53 by chance€856
  • rang4546≈ 477 by chance€317
  • rang51,745≈ 2.3k by chance€59.20
  • rang622,357≈ 20k by chance€16.60
  • rang723,163≈ 32k by chance€12.40
  • rang8286,858≈ 287k by chance€3.90
  • rang9265,515€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 23,163 winners, 27% fewer than the 32k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang25€39,275
    rang356€856
    rang4546€317
    rang51,745€59.20
    rang622,357€16.60
    rang723,163€12.40
    rang8286,858€3.90
    rang9265,515€2.20