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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 18 May 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244060
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 34
  4. 37
  5. 45
  6. 2

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,444 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-05-15All recent draws2024-05-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official14 15 34 37 45 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 34 37 45 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 249 of each

14235times
15279times
34241times
37250times
45

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.0Mto 772k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang612%€487.5K
  • rang837%€1.5M
  • rang924%€977.1K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

245times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 244 of each

2233times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,443 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 15, 34, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 August 2023 — its closest relative in 2,443 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 25% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2024): 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.1 by chance€129,214
  • rang342≈ 52 by chance€1,502
  • rang4378≈ 464 by chance€602
  • rang51,870≈ 2.2k by chance€72.70
  • rang618,123≈ 20k by chance€26.90
  • rang728,004≈ 31k by chance€13.50
  • rang8279,106≈ 279k by chance€5.30
  • rang9444,123€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,870 winners, 16% fewer than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang22€129,214
    rang342€1,502
    rang4378€602
    rang51,870€72.70
    rang618,123€26.90
    rang728,004€13.50
    rang8279,106€5.30
    rang9444,123€2.20