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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 11 September 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211109
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 15
  4. 33
  5. 49
  6. 8

Jackpot€26,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,024 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-09-08All recent draws2021-09-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 5 15 33 49 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 15 33 49 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd99th
  • low65th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

3212times
5204times
15219times
33213times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€31.7Mto 1.3M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • rang182%€26.0M
  • rang86.4%€2.0M
  • rang95.0%€1.6M
  • 6 other tiers6.7%€2.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.41 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

210times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

8182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,023 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 5, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 August 2020 — its closest relative in 2,023 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 September 2021): 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€26,000,000
  • rang22≈ 3.7 by chance€176,167
  • rang389≈ 91 by chance€966
  • rang4856≈ 820 by chance€362
  • rang53,949≈ 3.9k by chance€46.90
  • rang635,546≈ 35k by chance€18.70
  • rang755,409≈ 55k by chance€9.30
  • rang8493,656≈ 494k by chance€4.10
  • rang9720,042€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 856 winners, 4% more than the 820 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€26,000,000
    rang22€176,167
    rang389€966
    rang4856€362
    rang53,949€46.90
    rang635,546€18.70
    rang755,409€9.30
    rang8493,656€4.10
    rang9720,042€2.20