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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 7 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233094
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 47
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€13,000,000

The crowdHeld 32% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,322 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-08-05All recent draws2023-08-09 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 11 15 47 48 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 15 47 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

1245times
11230times
15257times
47227times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-07

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 775k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang610%€303.3K
  • rang831%€933.4K
  • rang936%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers22%€660.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

7255times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,321 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 15, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 January 2019 — its closest relative in 2,321 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€13,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.7 by chance€53,537
  • rang364≈ 42 by chance€613
  • rang4320≈ 378 by chance€442
  • rang52,455≈ 1.8k by chance€34.40
  • rang615,243≈ 16k by chance€19.90
  • rang736,657≈ 25k by chance€6.40
  • rang8227,660≈ 228k by chance€4.10
  • rang9492,112€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 36,657 winners, 45% more than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€13,000,000
    rang23€53,537
    rang364€613
    rang4320€442
    rang52,455€34.40
    rang615,243€19.90
    rang736,657€6.40
    rang8227,660€4.10
    rang9492,112€2.20