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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 27 October 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211129
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 27
  4. 41
  5. 44
  6. 9

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,044 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-10-25All recent draws2021-10-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official15 16 27 41 44 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 27 41 44 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

15224times
16218times
27213times
41247times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-27

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 741k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang612%€409.7K
  • rang836%€1.2M
  • rang927%€925.5K
  • 5 other tiers26%€893.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

211times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

9212times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,043 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 41, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 September 2019 — its closest relative in 2,043 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.0 by chance€217,230
  • rang344≈ 50 by chance€1,205
  • rang4363≈ 449 by chance€527
  • rang51,991≈ 2.1k by chance€57.30
  • rang618,047≈ 19k by chance€22.70
  • rang729,436≈ 30k by chance€10.80
  • rang8270,048≈ 270k by chance€4.60
  • rang9420,685€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,991 winners, 7% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang21€217,230
    rang344€1,205
    rang4363€527
    rang51,991€57.30
    rang618,047€22.70
    rang729,436€10.80
    rang8270,048€4.60
    rang9420,685€2.20