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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 28 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233012
  1. 5
  2. 15
  3. 30
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 5

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,240 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-25All recent draws2023-01-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 15 30 44 45 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 15 30 44 45 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

5226times
15246times
30217times
44236times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.4Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang611%€489.9K
  • rang834%€1.5M
  • rang930%€1.3M
  • 4 other tiers24%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

221times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

5240times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,239 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 September 2022 — its closest relative in 2,239 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 January 2023): 44 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.5 by chance€259,772
  • rang373≈ 61 by chance€4,427
  • rang4483≈ 553 by chance€473
  • rang53,431≈ 2.6k by chance€39.80
  • rang622,268≈ 24k by chance€22.00
  • rang745,773≈ 37k by chance€8.30
  • rang8332,670≈ 333k by chance€4.50
  • rang9596,865€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,431 winners, 30% more than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang20€259,772
    rang373€4,427
    rang4483€473
    rang53,431€39.80
    rang622,268€22.00
    rang745,773€8.30
    rang8332,670€4.50
    rang9596,865€2.20