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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 25 July 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200089
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 48
  6. 4

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,847 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-07-22All recent draws2020-07-27 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 10 15 18 48 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 15 18 48 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd9th
  • low89th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

6187times
10187times
15199times
18178times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-25

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.5Mto 812k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang136%€2.0M
  • rang823%€1.2M
  • rang917%€927.2K
  • 6 other tiers24%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

180times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

4187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,846 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 15, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 May 2020 — its closest relative in 1,846 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2020): 18 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.5 by chance€218,514
  • rang355≈ 60 by chance€970
  • rang4533≈ 543 by chance€361
  • rang52,746≈ 2.6k by chance€41.80
  • rang625,007≈ 23k by chance€16.50
  • rang735,440≈ 36k by chance€9.00
  • rang8326,848≈ 327k by chance€3.80
  • rang9421,432€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 25,007 winners, 7% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang21€218,514
    rang355€970
    rang4533€361
    rang52,746€41.80
    rang625,007€16.50
    rang735,440€9.00
    rang8326,848€3.80
    rang9421,432€2.20