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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 1 May 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233052
  1. 5
  2. 15
  3. 33
  4. 41
  5. 44
  6. 10

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,280 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-29All recent draws2023-05-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 15 33 41 44 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 15 33 41 44 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

5234times
15253times
33237times
41273times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.0Mto 379k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • rang159%€3.0M
  • rang816%€798.5K
  • rang98.4%€425.3K
  • 6 other tiers16%€824.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

240times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

10227times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,279 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 33, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 September 2022 — its closest relative in 2,279 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.2 by chance€68,570
  • rang330≈ 29 by chance€1,116
  • rang4310≈ 265 by chance€389
  • rang5985≈ 1.3k by chance€73.20
  • rang611,188≈ 11k by chance€23.20
  • rang713,921≈ 18k by chance€14.50
  • rang8159,704≈ 160k by chance€5.00
  • rang9193,323€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 985 winners, 22% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€3,000,000
    rang22€68,570
    rang330€1,116
    rang4310€389
    rang5985€73.20
    rang611,188€23.20
    rang713,921€14.50
    rang8159,704€5.00
    rang9193,323€2.20