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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 9 September 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233108
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 7
  4. 15
  5. 42
  6. 4

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,336 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-09-06All recent draws2023-09-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 4 7 15 42 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 7 15 42 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

3244times
4239times
7246times
15260times
42

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-09

  • Lines in play≈ 7.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • rang612%€558.6K
  • rang836%€1.7M
  • rang926%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

222times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 234 of each

4233times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,335 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 7, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 January 2022 — its closest relative in 2,335 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 September 2023): 4, 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

71

The numbers add up to 71 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang21≈ 3.4 by chance€296,230
  • rang389≈ 82 by chance€812
  • rang4736≈ 740 by chance€354
  • rang53,722≈ 3.5k by chance€41.80
  • rang633,249≈ 32k by chance€16.80
  • rang750,111≈ 49k by chance€8.70
  • rang8445,404≈ 445k by chance€3.80
  • rang9563,328€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,722 winners, 5% more than the 3.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang21€296,230
    rang389€812
    rang4736€354
    rang53,722€41.80
    rang633,249€16.80
    rang750,111€8.70
    rang8445,404€3.80
    rang9563,328€2.20