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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loto · draw
ResultLoto
Jackpot€4,000,000
The crowdHeld 57% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,812 of 2,983 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 23 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 287 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,811 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 21, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 September 2026 — its closest relative in 2,811 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 September 2026): 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 23,498 winners, 60% fewer than the 59k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €4,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 1 | €163,916 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 49 | €816 |
| Match 4 | 422 | €342 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,829 | €47.10 |
| Match 3 | 17,543 | €17.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 23,498 | €10.20 |
| Match 2 | 230,291 | €4.10 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 303,615 | €2.20 |