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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 10 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211018
  1. 13
  2. 15
  3. 29
  4. 33
  5. 44
  6. 4

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,933 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-08All recent draws2021-02-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official13 15 29 33 44 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed13 15 29 33 44 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

13225times
15209times
29210times
33207times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 678k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang612%€363.1K
  • rang836%€1.1M
  • rang926%€798.9K
  • 5 other tiers26%€790.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

196times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

4194times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,932 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 29, 44) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 November 2019 — its closest relative in 1,932 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 February 2021): 29 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.0 by chance€96,018
  • rang349≈ 49 by chance€957
  • rang4491≈ 439 by chance€344
  • rang52,076≈ 2.1k by chance€48.60
  • rang619,419≈ 19k by chance€18.70
  • rang728,475≈ 29k by chance€9.90
  • rang8264,187≈ 264k by chance€4.20
  • rang9363,144€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 28,475 winners, 3% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang22€96,018
    rang349€957
    rang4491€344
    rang52,076€48.60
    rang619,419€18.70
    rang728,475€9.90
    rang8264,187€4.20
    rang9363,144€2.20