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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 10 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233043
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 24
  4. 45
  5. 49
  6. 2

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,271 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-08All recent draws2023-04-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official10 15 24 45 49 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 24 45 49 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

10225times
15250times
24236times
45225times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-10

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 536k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€325.5K
  • rang838%€1.0M
  • rang923%€605.7K
  • 5 other tiers27%€710.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

233times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

2212times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,270 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 15, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,270 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€172,588
  • rang332≈ 41 by chance€1,316
  • rang4372≈ 371 by chance€408
  • rang51,400≈ 1.8k by chance€64.80
  • rang615,353≈ 16k by chance€21.20
  • rang720,278≈ 25k by chance€12.50
  • rang8223,417≈ 223k by chance€4.50
  • rang9275,320€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,400 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang21€172,588
    rang332€1,316
    rang4372€408
    rang51,400€64.80
    rang615,353€21.20
    rang720,278€12.50
    rang8223,417€4.50
    rang9275,320€2.20