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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 12 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233044
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 26
  5. 30
  6. 7

Jackpot€12,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,272 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-10All recent draws2023-04-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official10 15 18 26 30 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 18 26 30 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

10226times
15251times
18215times
26243times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.4Mto 945k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang610%€341.7K
  • rang831%€1.0M
  • rang937%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers22%€745.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

219times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

7250times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,271 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 15, 26, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 March 2015 — its closest relative in 2,271 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 April 2023): 10, 15 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,000,000
  • rang24≈ 2.3 by chance€45,349
  • rang3115≈ 56 by chance€385
  • rang4757≈ 505 by chance€211
  • rang54,119≈ 2.4k by chance€23.10
  • rang626,287≈ 22k by chance€13.00
  • rang747,324≈ 34k by chance€5.60
  • rang8303,780≈ 304k by chance€3.40
  • rang9562,712€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 4,119 winners, 71% more than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€12,000,000
    rang24€45,349
    rang3115€385
    rang4757€211
    rang54,119€23.10
    rang626,287€13.00
    rang747,324€5.60
    rang8303,780€3.40
    rang9562,712€2.20