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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 21 December 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222153
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 7

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,224 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-12-19All recent draws2022-12-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 12 15 21 22 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 15 21 22 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd65th
  • low99th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

11218times
12214times
15245times
21216times
22

Prize breakdown · 2022-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 887k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang610%€298.2K
  • rang831%€900.9K
  • rang937%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers22%€647.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

258times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

7246times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,223 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 21, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 August 2021 — its closest relative in 2,223 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

81

The numbers add up to 81 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12, 21–22. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang24≈ 2.3 by chance€39,412
  • rang3144≈ 57 by chance€267
  • rang4805≈ 516 by chance€172
  • rang54,489≈ 2.5k by chance€18.40
  • rang628,134≈ 22k by chance€10.60
  • rang753,480≈ 35k by chance€4.30
  • rang8310,647≈ 311k by chance€2.90
  • rang9489,604€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 4,489 winners, 82% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang24€39,412
    rang3144€267
    rang4805€172
    rang54,489€18.40
    rang628,134€10.60
    rang753,480€4.30
    rang8310,647€2.90
    rang9489,604€2.20