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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 6 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211016
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 42
  4. 44
  5. 47
  6. 10

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,931 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-03All recent draws2021-02-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 15 42 44 47 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 42 44 47 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

9199times
15208times
42184times
44195times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-06

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.3Mto 792k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang613%€547.7K
  • rang839%€1.7M
  • rang921%€900.1K
  • 5 other tiers28%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

186times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

10182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,930 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 15, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 February 2020 — its closest relative in 1,930 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.5 by chance€144,814
  • rang332≈ 61 by chance€2,209
  • rang4415≈ 551 by chance€614
  • rang51,871≈ 2.6k by chance€81.40
  • rang620,986≈ 24k by chance€26.10
  • rang727,677≈ 37k by chance€15.40
  • rang8331,770≈ 332k by chance€5.00
  • rang9409,119€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,871 winners, 29% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang22€144,814
    rang332€2,209
    rang4415€614
    rang51,871€81.40
    rang620,986€26.10
    rang727,677€15.40
    rang8331,770€5.00
    rang9409,119€2.20