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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 28 April 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211051
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 49
  6. 6

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 40% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,966 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-04-26All recent draws2021-05-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 10 12 15 49 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 12 15 49 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

4202times
10198times
12185times
15215times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 643k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€338.5K
  • rang837%€1.0M
  • rang924%€664.3K
  • 5 other tiers27%€736.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

205times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

6176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,965 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 12, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 November 2019 — its closest relative in 1,965 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 April 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.2 by chance€59,754
  • rang355≈ 53 by chance€796
  • rang4628≈ 476 by chance€251
  • rang52,398≈ 2.3k by chance€39.30
  • rang623,838≈ 20k by chance€14.20
  • rang728,125≈ 32k by chance€9.30
  • rang8286,384≈ 286k by chance€3.60
  • rang9301,957€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 23,838 winners, 17% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang23€59,754
    rang355€796
    rang4628€251
    rang52,398€39.30
    rang623,838€14.20
    rang728,125€9.30
    rang8286,384€3.60
    rang9301,957€2.20