Number 2

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

92times drawn · chance expected 80 +1.39σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

34longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 92 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +1.39σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 92 times in 866 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest83 · chance 85.1
2nd smallest9 · chance 6.9
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 42 18 21 27 54

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-04	6	1st	2 3 20 41 47
2026-08-23	14	1st	2 9 20 41 48
2026-05-17	4	1st	2 4 10 27 50
2026-04-19	19	1st	2 10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-04-09	5	1st	2 15 42 52 53
2023-03-05	23	1st	2 3 15 33 47
2022-09-25	8	1st	2 18 24 28 34
2022-07-31	10	1st	2 36 45 47 51
2022-05-22	13	1st	2 6 12 25 42
2022-02-20	5	1st	2 9 11 22 43
2022-01-16	12	1st	2 17 48 50 53
2021-10-24	1	1st	2 13 38 51 53
2021-10-17	1	2nd	1 2 17 38 49
2021-10-10	3	1st	2 3 23 25 54
2021-09-19	11	1st	2 3 4 12 52
2021-07-04	14	1st	2 18 31 43 54
2021-03-28	6	1st	2 5 7 9 16
2021-02-14	5	1st	2 20 33 37 53
2021-01-10	3	1st	2 19 20 21 25
2020-12-20	5	1st	2 6 42 50 54
2020-11-15	20	1st	2 3 7 16 21
2020-06-28	3	1st	2 13 39 41 46
2020-06-07	16	1st	2 10 25 34 54
2019-12-08	13	1st	2 3 27 30 38
2019-09-08	13	1st	2 3 23 27 49
2019-06-09	4	1st	2 7 13 27 31
2019-05-12	2	1st	2 10 11 49 54
2019-04-28	10	1st	2 4 5 24 43
2019-02-17	5	1st	2 18 40 48 53
2019-01-13	2	1st	2 24 44 45 48
2018-12-30	7	1st	2 7 31 41 50
2018-11-11	1	1st	2 15 42 46 53
2018-11-04	2	1st	2 18 45 49 51
2018-10-21	18	1st	2 8 12 24 31
2018-06-17	9	1st	2 27 34 44 51
2018-04-15	17	1st	2 12 25 42 52
2017-12-17	6	1st	2 8 20 28 48
2017-11-05	19	1st	2 10 17 22 39
2017-06-25	2	2nd	1 2 9 12 38
2017-06-11	5	1st	2 3 13 29 43
2017-05-07	4	1st	2 21 37 51 53
2017-04-09	25	1st	2 4 22 34 40
2016-10-16	7	1st	2 25 33 46 51
2016-08-28	10	1st	2 11 13 26 42
2016-06-19	11	1st	2 6 29 34 39
2016-04-03	30	1st	2 3 15 26 52
2015-09-06	9	1st	2 20 28 45 54
2015-07-05	22	1st	2 13 15 17 43
2015-02-01	12	1st	2 7 14 21 31
2014-11-09	11	1st	2 4 10 33 46
2014-08-24	1	1st	2 6 7 24 27
2014-08-17	15	1st	2 19 32 43 49
2014-05-04	7	2nd	1 2 21 37 53
2014-03-16	8	1st	2 27 29 45 49
2014-01-19	2	1st	2 3 6 27 39
2014-01-05	9	1st	2 21 25 44 52
2013-11-03	5	1st	2 9 17 28 42
2013-09-29	4	1st	2 26 40 42 54
2013-09-01	24	2nd	1 2 12 18 39
2013-03-17	11	1st	2 8 21 24 40
2012-12-30	5	2nd	1 2 11 19 47
2012-11-25	24	1st	2 4 22 29 48
2012-06-10	1	2nd	1 2 8 12 28
2012-06-03	9	1st	2 6 20 25 28
2012-04-01	1	1st	2 21 27 36 38
2012-03-25	10	1st	2 23 26 48 51
2012-01-15	1	1st	2 11 30 38 41
2012-01-08	34	1st	2 18 19 24 43
2011-05-15	15	1st	2 3 25 32 46
2011-01-30	20	1st	2 15 18 35 49
2010-09-12	24	1st	2 3 31 41 49
2010-03-28	—	1st	2 12 28 36 46