Number 30

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

71times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.08σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number

12.3average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

66longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 71 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −1.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 71 times in 866 draws · average wait 12.3 draws · longest completed wait 66 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 2.6
2nd smallest15 · chance 14.2
3rd smallest27 · chance 27.2
4th smallest20 · chance 21.3
5th smallest7 · chance 5.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

9 37 27 38 50 49

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-06	7	3rd	25 27 30 46 50
2026-07-19	2	3rd	12 28 30 38 41
2026-07-05	9	4th	6 13 27 30 32
2026-05-03	7	2nd	6 30

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-07-11	3	4th	1 18 19 30 50
2021-06-20	13	3rd	4 5 30 34 43
2021-03-21	12	3rd	21 27 30 34 42
2020-12-27	19	3rd	16 24 30 41 45
2020-08-16	3	4th	9 20 28 30 52
2020-07-26	1	2nd	9 30 34 36 37
2020-07-19	19	2nd	24 30 43 49 50
2019-12-29	3	4th	13 16 21 30 35
2019-12-08	1	4th	2 3 27 30 38
2019-12-01	23	3rd	9 21 30 41 53
2019-06-23	4	4th	8 19 22 30 34
2019-05-26	24	2nd	9 30 32 49 50
2018-12-09	8	4th	12 24 27 30 32
2018-10-14	5	3rd	14 28 30 44 52
2018-09-09	15	3rd	3 26 30 35 42
2018-05-27	7	5th	3 19 20 28 30
2018-04-08	1	3rd	22 23 30 31 33
2018-04-01	6	3rd	3 27 30 38 53
2018-02-18	14	2nd	23 30 42 51 54
2017-11-12	4	2nd	11 30 37 44 49
2017-10-15	24	3rd	18 26 30 33 51
2017-04-30	53	3rd	6 15 30 34 44
2016-04-24	7	4th	1 8 29 30 49
2016-03-06	21	3rd	5 12 30 31 48
2015-10-11	8	5th	3 13 14 19 30
2015-08-16	15	1st	30 31 35 37 41
2015-05-03	15	5th	4 15 18 29 30
2015-01-18	11	2nd	22 30 32 34 42
2014-11-02	6	4th	12 17 23 30 47
2014-09-21	24	4th	9 18 26 30 31
2014-04-06	2	2nd	11 30 37 43 46
2014-03-23	23	3rd	9 20 30 37 44
2013-10-13	27	4th	11 24 27 30 50
2013-04-07	2	5th	5 14 26 29 30
2013-03-24	8	3rd	6 22 30 31 51
2013-01-27	36	3rd	9 27 30 43 46
2012-05-20	14	2nd	5 30 31 36 50
2012-02-12	2	4th	9 19 27 30 53
2012-01-29	2	3rd	26 29 30 38 41
2012-01-15	3	3rd	2 11 30 38 41
2011-12-25	1	3rd	4 9 30 41 50
2011-12-18	7	4th	4 18 23 30 49
2011-10-30	66	2nd	24 30 31 38 44
2010-07-25	11	3rd	23 24 30 46 52
2010-05-09	8	3rd	16 22 30 33 37
2010-03-14	8	2nd	15 30 36 40 43
2010-01-17	—	2nd	24 30 39 40 50