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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 10 January 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 19
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 25
  6. 0

Jackpot€11,700,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 566 of 869 under them

← 2021-01-03All recent draws2021-01-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 19 20 21 25 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd66th
  • low99th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

253times
1943times
2052times
2153times
25

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-10

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 404k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€155.5K
  • 2+039%€508.4K
  • 0+124%€313.3K
  • 5 other tiers24%€315.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.11 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

42times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

054times

Every number was expected about that many times after 565 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 20, 21) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 May 2014 — its closest relative in 565 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20, 20–21. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 0.99 by chance
€77,763
  • 4+120≈ 27 by chance€1,414
  • 4+0272≈ 242 by chance€121
  • 3+1807≈ 1.3k by chance€46.72
  • 3+011,875≈ 12k by chance€10.32
  • 2+112,438≈ 20k by chance€7.58
  • 2+0169,477≈ 182k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1208,869≈ 209k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 12,438 winners, 38% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€77,763
    4+120€1,414
    4+0272€121
    3+1807€46.72
    3+011,875€10.32
    2+112,438€7.58
    2+0169,477€3.00
    0+1208,869€1.50