Number 16

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

70times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.19σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 42% for any number

12.2average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

65longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 70 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −1.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 70 times in 866 draws · average wait 12.2 draws · longest completed wait 65 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest19 · chance 17.6
2nd smallest31 · chance 30.2
3rd smallest14 · chance 17.6
4th smallest5 · chance 4.1
5th smallest1 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 37 21 33 5 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-02	25	1st	16 23 29 35 51
2026-02-08	18	2nd	3 16 25 41 42
2025-10-05	2	3rd	5 14 16 20 39
2025-09-21	4	2nd	4 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-03-28	5	5th	2 5 7 9 16
2021-02-21	7	2nd	8 16 37 40 46
2021-01-03	1	2nd	11 16 33 35 46
2020-12-27	2	1st	16 24 30 41 45
2020-12-13	4	1st	16 23 33 35 50
2020-11-15	3	4th	2 3 7 16 21
2020-10-25	33	2nd	6 16 18 31 39
2019-12-29	8	2nd	13 16 21 30 35
2019-11-03	3	3rd	12 14 16 32 50
2019-10-13	25	2nd	15 16 27 32 35
2019-04-21	4	1st	16 22 38 40 46
2019-03-24	33	4th	1 8 9 16 42
2018-08-05	45	3rd	5 12 16 23 53
2017-09-24	44	2nd	12 16 19 27 51
2016-11-20	14	1st	16 22 36 41 51
2016-08-14	6	4th	4 7 8 16 36
2016-07-03	15	2nd	6 16 32 42 50
2016-03-20	7	3rd	12 13 16 37 53
2016-01-31	6	2nd	6 16 33 42 43
2015-12-20	3	2nd	4 16 23 24 31
2015-11-29	2	2nd	11 16 34 39 54
2015-11-15	15	2nd	5 16 18 23 33
2015-08-02	8	1st	16 21 26 42 54
2015-06-07	16	2nd	8 16 34 40 50
2015-02-15	8	1st	16 19 38 47 48
2014-12-21	65	1st	16 20 21 32 37
2013-09-22	1	1st	16 38 44 45 47
2013-09-15	7	3rd	3 5 16 18 29
2013-07-28	2	2nd	11 16 19 32 33
2013-07-14	1	2nd	7 16 23 37 49
2013-07-07	1	2nd	11 16 28 37 44
2013-06-30	3	1st	16 32 49 51 52
2013-06-09	8	1st	16 25 37 38 43
2013-04-14	10	2nd	4 16 20 22 26
2013-02-03	2	2nd	8 16 20 39 47
2013-01-20	24	2nd	5 16 32 39 53
2012-08-05	21	1st	16 22 26 47 53
2012-03-11	14	3rd	4 8 16 21 53
2011-12-04	3	2nd	13 16 32 35 39
2011-11-13	18	3rd	4 9 16 21 29
2011-07-10	6	2nd	9 16 29 33 43
2011-05-29	38	1st	16 22 38 44 49
2010-09-05	17	1st	16 21 29 31 54
2010-05-09	4	1st	16 22 30 33 37
2010-04-11	3	2nd	14 16 27 28 29
2010-03-21	—	2nd	3 16 32 41 47