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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 1 September 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 24
  4. 31
  5. 45
  6. 4

Jackpot€5,600,000

The crowdHeld 37% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 756 of 869 under them

← 2024-08-25All recent draws2024-09-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 24 31 45 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

276times
1186times
2481times
3172times
45

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 412k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€170.5K
  • 2+034%€410.6K
  • 0+131%€373.5K
  • 4 other tiers22%€266.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

72times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

469times

Every number was expected about that many times after 755 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 24, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 August 2023 — its closest relative in 755 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 August 2024): 2 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+124≈ 32 by chance€7,103
  • 4+0178≈ 288 by chance€172
  • 3+1997≈ 1.5k by chance€35.07
  • 3+09,043≈ 14k by chance€12.57
  • 2+115,428≈ 24k by chance€5.67
  • 2+0136,865≈ 217k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1248,992≈ 249k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 136,865 winners, 37% fewer than the 217k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+124€7,103
    4+0178€172
    3+1997€35.07
    3+09,043€12.57
    2+115,428€5.67
    2+0136,865€3.00
    0+1248,992€1.50