El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number
20
Number 20 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.
Main numbers Stars 74 times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.73σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
11.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
46 longest completed wait · 60% chance of one at least that long
20 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 74 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −0.73σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
20 Number 20, draw by draw Drawn 74 times in 866 draws · average wait 11.5 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 1 draws now
11 draws: 2010-06-13 to 2010-08-29 9 draws: 2010-08-29 to 2010-10-31 6 draws: 2010-10-31 to 2010-12-12 3 draws: 2010-12-12 to 2011-01-02 6 draws: 2011-01-02 to 2011-02-13 4 draws: 2011-02-13 to 2011-03-13 15 draws: 2011-03-13 to 2011-06-26 41 draws: 2011-06-26 to 2012-04-08 8 draws: 2012-04-08 to 2012-06-03 15 draws: 2012-06-03 to 2012-09-16 13 draws: 2012-09-16 to 2012-12-16 7 draws: 2012-12-16 to 2013-02-03 8 draws: 2013-02-03 to 2013-03-31 2 draws: 2013-03-31 to 2013-04-14 10 draws: 2013-04-14 to 2013-06-23 6 draws: 2013-06-23 to 2013-08-04 3 draws: 2013-08-04 to 2013-08-25 16 draws: 2013-08-25 to 2013-12-15 4 draws: 2013-12-15 to 2014-01-12 6 draws: 2014-01-12 to 2014-02-23 4 draws: 2014-02-23 to 2014-03-23 7 draws: 2014-03-23 to 2014-05-11 9 draws: 2014-05-11 to 2014-07-13 11 draws: 2014-07-13 to 2014-09-28 12 draws: 2014-09-28 to 2014-12-21 3 draws: 2014-12-21 to 2015-01-11 15 draws: 2015-01-11 to 2015-04-26 19 draws: 2015-04-26 to 2015-09-06 46 draws: 2015-09-06 to 2016-07-24 1 draws: 2016-07-24 to 2016-07-31 19 draws: 2016-07-31 to 2016-12-11 6 draws: 2016-12-11 to 2017-01-22 8 draws: 2017-01-22 to 2017-03-19 31 draws: 2017-03-19 to 2017-10-22 8 draws: 2017-10-22 to 2017-12-17 13 draws: 2017-12-17 to 2018-03-18 1 draws: 2018-03-18 to 2018-03-25 9 draws: 2018-03-25 to 2018-05-27 5 draws: 2018-05-27 to 2018-07-01 8 draws: 2018-07-01 to 2018-08-26 14 draws: 2018-08-26 to 2018-12-02 8 draws: 2018-12-02 to 2019-01-27 7 draws: 2019-01-27 to 2019-03-17 7 draws: 2019-03-17 to 2019-05-05 2 draws: 2019-05-05 to 2019-05-19 7 draws: 2019-05-19 to 2019-07-07 15 draws: 2019-07-07 to 2019-10-20 18 draws: 2019-10-20 to 2020-02-23 1 draws: 2020-02-23 to 2020-03-01 6 draws: 2020-03-01 to 2020-06-21 8 draws: 2020-06-21 to 2020-08-16 21 draws: 2020-08-16 to 2021-01-10 5 draws: 2021-01-10 to 2021-02-14 4 draws: 2021-02-14 to 2021-03-14 8 draws: 2021-03-14 to 2021-05-09 7 draws: 2021-05-09 to 2021-06-27 25 draws: 2021-06-27 to 2021-12-19 24 draws: 2021-12-19 to 2022-06-05 10 draws: 2022-06-05 to 2022-08-14 20 draws: 2022-08-14 to 2023-01-01 6 draws: 2023-01-01 to 2023-02-12 10 draws: 2023-02-12 to 2023-04-23 37 draws: 2023-04-23 to 2024-01-07 7 draws: 2024-01-07 to 2024-02-25 10 draws: 2024-02-25 to 2024-05-05 9 draws: 2024-05-05 to 2024-07-07 27 draws: 2024-07-07 to 2025-01-12 20 draws: 2025-01-12 to 2025-06-01 18 draws: 2025-06-01 to 2025-10-05 11 draws: 2025-10-05 to 2025-12-21 1 draws: 2025-12-21 to 2025-12-28 34 draws: 2025-12-28 to 2026-08-23 6 draws: 2026-08-23 to 2026-10-04 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2026-10-04 2010-06-13 2010-08-29 2010-10-31 2010-12-12 2011-01-02 2011-02-13 2011-03-13 2011-06-26 2012-04-08 2012-06-03 2012-09-16 2012-12-16 2013-02-03 2013-03-31 2013-04-14 2013-06-23 2013-08-04 2013-08-25 2013-12-15 2014-01-12 2014-02-23 2014-03-23 2014-05-11 2014-07-13 2014-09-28 2014-12-21 2015-01-11 2015-04-26 2015-09-06 2016-07-24 2016-07-31 2016-12-11 2017-01-22 2017-03-19 2017-10-22 2017-12-17 2018-03-18 2018-03-25 2018-05-27 2018-07-01 2018-08-26 2018-12-02 2019-01-27 2019-03-17 2019-05-05 2019-05-19 2019-07-07 2019-10-20 2020-02-23 2020-03-01 2020-06-21 2020-08-16 2021-01-10 2021-02-14 2021-03-14 2021-05-09 2021-06-27 2021-12-19 2022-06-05 2022-08-14 2023-01-01 2023-02-12 2023-04-23 2024-01-07 2024-02-25 2024-05-05 2024-07-07 2025-01-12 2025-06-01 2025-10-05 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 2026-08-23 2026-10-04 2010-01-03 2026-10-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 4 times 2 draws: 2 times 3 draws: 3 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 2 times 6 draws: 8 times 7 draws: 7 times 8 draws: 8 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 1 time 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 1 time 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 1 time 47 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 14 · chance 11.7 2nd smallest 26 · chance 28.7 3rd smallest 21 · chance 24.2 4th smallest 12 · chance 8.3 5th smallest 1 · chance 1.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 19 Every number number 21 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.