El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number
1
Number 1 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.
Main numbers Stars 62 times drawn · chance expected 80 −2.13σ
3 draws waiting · a wait this long: 82% for any number
13.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
90 longest completed wait · 1% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 62 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −2.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1 Number 1, draw by draw Drawn 62 times in 866 draws · average wait 13.7 draws · longest completed wait 90 · waiting 3 draws now
17 draws: 2010-07-04 to 2010-10-31 9 draws: 2010-10-31 to 2011-01-02 2 draws: 2011-01-02 to 2011-01-16 7 draws: 2011-01-16 to 2011-03-06 4 draws: 2011-03-06 to 2011-04-03 7 draws: 2011-04-03 to 2011-05-22 37 draws: 2011-05-22 to 2012-02-05 6 draws: 2012-02-05 to 2012-03-18 10 draws: 2012-03-18 to 2012-05-27 2 draws: 2012-05-27 to 2012-06-10 5 draws: 2012-06-10 to 2012-07-15 11 draws: 2012-07-15 to 2012-09-30 13 draws: 2012-09-30 to 2012-12-30 25 draws: 2012-12-30 to 2013-06-23 4 draws: 2013-06-23 to 2013-07-21 4 draws: 2013-07-21 to 2013-08-18 2 draws: 2013-08-18 to 2013-09-01 33 draws: 2013-09-01 to 2014-04-20 2 draws: 2014-04-20 to 2014-05-04 13 draws: 2014-05-04 to 2014-08-03 90 draws: 2014-08-03 to 2016-04-24 1 draws: 2016-04-24 to 2016-05-01 1 draws: 2016-05-01 to 2016-05-08 10 draws: 2016-05-08 to 2016-07-17 37 draws: 2016-07-17 to 2017-04-02 8 draws: 2017-04-02 to 2017-05-28 4 draws: 2017-05-28 to 2017-06-25 23 draws: 2017-06-25 to 2017-12-03 1 draws: 2017-12-03 to 2017-12-10 9 draws: 2017-12-10 to 2018-02-11 3 draws: 2018-02-11 to 2018-03-04 29 draws: 2018-03-04 to 2018-09-23 23 draws: 2018-09-23 to 2019-03-03 3 draws: 2019-03-03 to 2019-03-24 18 draws: 2019-03-24 to 2019-07-28 16 draws: 2019-07-28 to 2019-11-17 10 draws: 2019-11-17 to 2020-01-26 2 draws: 2020-01-26 to 2020-02-09 23 draws: 2020-02-09 to 2020-09-27 9 draws: 2020-09-27 to 2020-11-29 24 draws: 2020-11-29 to 2021-05-16 8 draws: 2021-05-16 to 2021-07-11 8 draws: 2021-07-11 to 2021-09-05 6 draws: 2021-09-05 to 2021-10-17 3 draws: 2021-10-17 to 2021-11-07 36 draws: 2021-11-07 to 2022-07-17 1 draws: 2022-07-17 to 2022-07-24 7 draws: 2022-07-24 to 2022-09-11 49 draws: 2022-09-11 to 2023-08-20 8 draws: 2023-08-20 to 2023-10-15 13 draws: 2023-10-15 to 2024-01-14 6 draws: 2024-01-14 to 2024-02-25 7 draws: 2024-02-25 to 2024-04-14 14 draws: 2024-04-14 to 2024-07-21 16 draws: 2024-07-21 to 2024-11-10 17 draws: 2024-11-10 to 2025-03-09 19 draws: 2025-03-09 to 2025-07-20 1 draws: 2025-07-20 to 2025-07-27 7 draws: 2025-07-27 to 2025-09-14 8 draws: 2025-09-14 to 2025-11-09 45 draws: 2025-11-09 to 2026-09-20 Still waiting — at least 3 draws since 2026-09-20 2010-07-04 2010-10-31 2011-01-02 2011-01-16 2011-03-06 2011-04-03 2011-05-22 2012-02-05 2012-03-18 2012-05-27 2012-06-10 2012-07-15 2012-09-30 2012-12-30 2013-06-23 2013-07-21 2013-08-18 2013-09-01 2014-04-20 2014-05-04 2014-08-03 2016-04-24 2016-05-01 2016-05-08 2016-07-17 2017-04-02 2017-05-28 2017-06-25 2017-12-03 2017-12-10 2018-02-11 2018-03-04 2018-09-23 2019-03-03 2019-03-24 2019-07-28 2019-11-17 2020-01-26 2020-02-09 2020-09-27 2020-11-29 2021-05-16 2021-07-11 2021-09-05 2021-10-17 2021-11-07 2022-07-17 2022-07-24 2022-09-11 2023-08-20 2023-10-15 2024-01-14 2024-02-25 2024-04-14 2024-07-21 2024-11-10 2025-03-09 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 2025-09-14 2025-11-09 2026-09-20 2010-01-03 2026-10-11
1 draws: 5 times 2 draws: 5 times 3 draws: 3 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 1 time 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 5 times 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 0 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 3 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 2 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 1 time 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 1 time 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 0 times 64 draws: 0 times 65 draws: 0 times 66 draws: 0 times 67 draws: 0 times 68 draws: 0 times 69 draws: 0 times 70 draws: 0 times 71 draws: 0 times 72 draws: 0 times 73 draws: 0 times 74 draws: 0 times 75 draws: 0 times 76 draws: 0 times 77 draws: 0 times 78 draws: 0 times 79 draws: 0 times 80 draws: 0 times 81 draws: 0 times 82 draws: 0 times 83 draws: 0 times 84 draws: 0 times 85 draws: 0 times 86 draws: 0 times 87 draws: 0 times 88 draws: 0 times 89 draws: 0 times 90 draws: 1 time 91 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 62 · chance 62.0 2nd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 3rd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.5 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →
Every draw it appeared in The other 38 appearances Lowest in the pool Every number number 2 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.