Number 38

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

79times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.14σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 62% for any number

10.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

45longest completed wait · 66% chance of one at least that long

38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 79 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 79 times in 866 draws · average wait 10.9 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 0.5
2nd smallest6 · chance 5.6
3rd smallest16 · chance 21.6
4th smallest39 · chance 33.5
5th smallest15 · chance 17.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

41 51 53 10 30 33

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-30	5	4th	12 29 33 38 50
2026-07-26	1	3rd	8 22 38 39 46
2026-07-19	3	4th	12 28 30 38 41
2026-06-28	5	3rd	14 27

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-06-05	12	4th	20 26 30 38 53
2022-03-13	20	3rd	7 32 38 41 49
2021-10-24	1	3rd	2 13 38 51 53
2021-10-17	16	4th	1 2 17 38 49
2021-06-27	36	5th	18 20 24 31 38
2020-10-18	22	4th	5 9 32 38 39
2020-03-08	5	1st	38 40 44 49 51
2020-02-02	7	4th	8 15 22 38 45
2019-12-15	1	5th	5 13 15 27 38
2019-12-08	33	5th	2 3 27 30 38
2019-04-21	17	3rd	16 22 38 40 46
2018-12-23	4	1st	38 41 46 47 53
2018-11-25	25	4th	3 17 24 38 52
2018-06-03	9	4th	5 28 33 38 44
2018-04-01	28	4th	3 27 30 38 53
2017-09-17	9	4th	10 23 36 38 41
2017-07-16	3	2nd	24 38 45 47 51
2017-06-25	18	5th	1 2 9 12 38
2017-02-19	6	4th	7 31 37 38 39
2017-01-08	45	2nd	12 38 41 43 53
2016-02-28	11	5th	9 17 25 36 38
2015-12-13	3	5th	18 22 32 33 38
2015-11-22	8	3rd	3 21 38 39 48
2015-09-27	5	5th	17 28 34 36 38
2015-08-23	15	4th	10 13 21 38 42
2015-05-10	3	5th	7 22 23 26 38
2015-04-19	6	4th	8 23 27 38 53
2015-03-08	3	4th	17 24 31 38 53
2015-02-15	10	3rd	16 19 38 47 48
2014-12-07	1	3rd	10 22 38 41 53
2014-11-30	5	3rd	11 37 38 49 51
2014-10-26	2	3rd	35 36 38 48 50
2014-10-12	2	4th	5 15 17 38 47
2014-09-28	15	5th	7 20 21 33 38
2014-06-15	15	5th	6 11 15 24 38
2014-03-02	12	4th	9 15 24 38 39
2013-12-08	7	4th	26 33 35 38 49
2013-10-20	4	4th	22 33 34 38 52
2013-09-22	7	2nd	16 38 44 45 47
2013-08-04	6	3rd	20 32 38 44 46
2013-06-23	2	4th	1 11 20 38 39
2013-06-09	6	4th	16 25 37 38 43
2013-04-28	16	4th	18 23 27 38 51
2013-01-06	9	2nd	10 38 47 48 53
2012-11-04	30	4th	10 27 32 38 46
2012-04-08	1	3rd	20 33 38 48 51
2012-04-01	6	5th	2 21 27 36 38
2012-02-19	3	4th	18 27 29 38 39
2012-01-29	2	4th	26 29 30 38 41
2012-01-15	11	4th	2 11 30 38 41
2011-10-30	22	4th	24 30 31 38 44
2011-05-29	28	3rd	16 22 38 44 49
2010-11-14	18	4th	14 15 37 38 51
2010-07-11	18	5th	5 12 32 34 38
2010-03-07	—	1st	38 41 47 49 53